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ENGT5114 Sustainable Energy Assignment - Patterns of energy use

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Learning outcomes -

LO1. Analyse and organise energy data from different sources;

Answer: Analyzing and organizing energy data from diverse sources requires a systematic approach. This involves data cleaning, which involves identifying and correcting errors or inconsistencies. Once cleaned, the data can be organized into structured formats, such as databases or spreadsheets. Statistical analysis techniques can then be applied to identify trends, patterns, and correlations within the data. This analysis can provide valuable insights into energy consumption, usage patterns, and potential areas for optimization. Additionally, visualization tools can be used to create informative graphs and charts, making the data more accessible and understandable.

LO2. Explain why past predictions of energy sources differ from what actually happened;

Answer: Past predictions of energy sources often diverge from reality due to a combination of factors. Technological advancements have played a significant role, enabling the development of previously unforeseen energy sources or improving the efficiency of existing ones. Economic considerations, such as fluctuating prices and government policies, can also influence energy consumption patterns and investment decisions. Additionally, geopolitical events, natural disasters, and unforeseen technological challenges can disrupt energy supply chains and alter market dynamics. These factors, often intertwined and difficult to predict, contribute to the discrepancies between past energy forecasts and actual outcomes.

LO3. Describe the main uses of different fuels;

Answer: Different fuels serve diverse purposes based on their properties and energy content. Fossil fuels, such as coal, oil, and natural gas, are widely used for electricity generation, transportation, and heating. Renewable energy sources, like solar, wind, and hydropower, are increasingly employed for electricity production and transportation. Nuclear power is primarily used for electricity generation, while biomass fuels, derived from organic matter, can be used for heat, electricity, and transportation. The choice of fuel depends on factors such as availability, cost, environmental impact, and technological feasibility.

LO4. Produce a well written, concise report appropriate for postgraduate level.

Answer: A postgraduate-level report should be meticulously crafted, adhering to academic standards and conventions. It requires a clear and concise introduction that outlines the research question, objectives, and methodology. The body of the report should present findings in a logical and organized manner, supported by evidence and analysis. A comprehensive discussion section should interpret the results, addressing their implications and limitations. Finally, a well-structured conclusion should summarize the key findings, reiterate the research question, and offer potential future directions. The report should also be formatted correctly, using appropriate citations and references to acknowledge sources. By following these guidelines, a postgraduate-level report can effectively convey research findings and contribute to the academic discourse.

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Assessment - Patterns of energy use

The purpose of this exercise is to analyse predictions made in the past about how energy sources would evolve to the present day, and compare these with what actually happened.

Table 1 provides information about energy projections made by Ion (1975) in 1975. An extract of his book, which includes this table, is available on Blackboard with the assignment brief.

The term 'inexhaustible energies' used here refers to what we would now call renewables, plus nuclear fusion which was expected to develop faster than it has (practical fusion generation is still several decades away).

For the current energy situation, refer to the BP (2019) Statistical Review of World Energy, which gives energy statistics for the year 2018.

Questions - The following questions are to be written up in the form of a report.

Question 1 - Read the Ion (1975) document. Produce a comparison table and pie charts showing Ion's predictions of primary energy sources (fuels) in 2020, and corresponding data from the BP Statistical Review of actual primary energy sources in 2018. Give units and ensure they are the same. State where exactly you took the information from in each source. You should not use any other sources.

Although the actual 2018 data is 2 years earlier than 2020, it is still reasonable to compare them in broad terms as energy use does not change very fast.

Question 2 - Using the table and charts you have produced, suggest reasons for differences and similarities between the predicted 2020 and actual 2018 data for the different types of fuel (note 'fuel' here includes hydro, nuclear and renewables). You may use relevant quotes from the two sources.

In particular, compare the broad definition of 'Inexhaustibles' used by Ion (see his text) with the current situation for different energy sources.

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Question 3 - Summarise the main uses of oil, coal, nuclear, natural gas, solar and wind today, and why they are used in this way.

Question 4 - Suggest how an estimate could be made for actual use in 2020, by fuel, from information in the BP report, and assumptions involved. Hence, estimate actual use for 2020 for the fuel categories in the BP Statistical Review. Give the results in a table.

Report format - The report must not be longer than 8 pages in total, including the title page and references, and there should be no appendices. Use a style appropriate to a technical report (i.e. formal, factual and to the point). Use the Harvard or IEEE system for references.

1. Title page (include your name, course code, module name, month and year of submission) with executive summary (150 words max.)

2. Introduction

3. [your chosen headings]

4. Conclusions

5. References

You do not need a table of contents, list of figures or list of tables, or executive summary. All tables and figures must be numbered Table 1, etc., and referred to in the text.

References -

1. BP. (2019). BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2019.

2. ION, D.C., 1975. Availability of World Energy Resources, London: Graham and Trotman Ltd. (see extract available on Blackboard).

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